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Youth Championship
Dynamo Makhachkala U19 vs Almaz Antey U19
Fri 06 Nov 17:00 0 minutes final 1–2 · 1 won · 0 lostAl
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 80.4%
book 1.33x · even 1.30-1.55x
why
• league PROVEN (73.3%, n=60)
• type ledger 75% (n=2265)
• priced 1.33x - band hits ~65% (60d)
league track
proven · 73.3% of 60 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 61.0%)
draws 16.7% of matches
team history 21/20 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.6% (n=679)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
80.4%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (80.4%)
@ 06 Nov 18:04 · 1.33x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
28.4%
Draw
19.6%
Away win
52.0%
calibrated 06 Nov 18:04
scoring fit λ 1.67 / μ 2.29
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 244 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
52.0%
|
1.92x | 59.0% n=244 | risky | won |
| Draw |
19.6%
|
5.1x | 59.0% n=244 | risky | lost |
| Home win |
28.4%
|
3.53x | 59.0% n=244 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — Dynamo Makhac… 0W / 0D / 2L
· momentum Dynamo Makh… 1.17 ppg vs Almaz Antey… 2.5 ppg
Dynamo Makhachkala U19 · last 6
06 Nov · Youth Championship
1-2
L
30 Oct · Youth Championship
5-2
L
23 Oct · Youth Championship
2-2
D
16 Oct · Youth Championship
3-2
L
09 Oct · Youth Championship
1-0
W
18 Sep · Youth Championship
0-1
W
Almaz Antey U19 · last 6
06 Nov · Youth Championship
1-2
W
30 Oct · Youth Championship
2-3
W
23 Oct · Youth Championship
3-0
W
16 Oct · Youth Championship
7-1
L
09 Oct · Youth Championship
5-2
W
18 Sep · Youth Championship
1-2
W
Head-to-head last 5
06 Nov 26 · Youth Championship
Dynamo Makhachk… 1-2 Almaz Antey U19
17 Jul 26 · Youth Championship
Almaz Antey U19 2-0 Dynamo Makhachk…
Tickets including this match