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FK Partizan vs Macva

Sat 07 Nov 19:00 0 minutes final 1–2 · settled
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 92.7%
why
• league PROVEN (78.3%, n=23)
• type ledger 79% (n=2000)
• SELECT 90%+ (measured >=88%)
league track
proven · 78.3% of 23 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 58.1%)
draws 23.3% of matches
team history 29/20 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.0% hit (n=2000, 90d ledger)
measured band: 92.7% (n=164)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.4% hit (n=2556)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
92.7%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
72.1%
Draw
20.6%
Away win
7.3%
calibrated 07 Nov 17:55
scoring fit λ 2.23 / μ 0.63
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 285 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
7.3%
13.71x 51.9% n=285 risky won
Draw
20.6%
4.86x 51.9% n=285 risky lost
top Home win
72.1%
1.39x 51.9% n=285 solid lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 3 meetings — FK Partizan 1W / 0D / 2L · momentum FK Partizan 1.5 ppg vs Macva 1.33 ppg
FK Partizan · last 6
07 Nov · Super Liga 1-2 L
04 Nov · Cup 1-5 W
01 Nov · Super Liga 3-0 W
24 Oct · Super Liga 0-2 L
17 Oct · Super Liga 1-0 L
11 Oct · Super Liga 1-0 W
Macva · last 6
07 Nov · Super Liga 1-2 W
01 Nov · Super Liga 2-4 L
27 Oct · Cup 2-0 W
24 Oct · Super Liga 1-0 L
17 Oct · Super Liga 1-1 D
10 Oct · Super Liga 2-2 D
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Super Liga FK Partizan 1-2 Macva
26 Jul 26 · Super Liga Macva 1-3 FK Partizan
28 Oct 25 · Cup Macva 2-0 FK Partizan
Tickets including this match
TREBLE win chance 77.1% LOST VALUE win chance 75.1% LOST VALUE win chance 75.1% LOST VALUE win chance 75.1% LOST VALUE win chance 75.1% LOST VALUE win chance 75.1% LOST