HOME
Second Division
Qatar U23 vs Al-Khor
Thu 05 Nov 16:15 0 minutes final 0–3 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 77.9%
book 1.62x · longshot 1.55x+
why
• league OK (72.7%, n=11)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
• priced 1.62x - 1.55x+ legs hit ~53% (60d)
league track
ok · 72.7% of 11 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 43.4%)
draws 25.0% of matches
team history 9/8 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 77.3% (n=128)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
77.9%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away
solid (77.9%)
@ 05 Nov 10:48 · 1.62x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
22.1%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
52.4%
calibrated 05 Nov 10:48
scoring fit λ 1.22 / μ 1.94
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
52.4%
|
1.91x | – | risky | won |
| Draw |
25.5%
|
3.92x | – | risky | lost |
| Home win |
22.1%
|
4.53x | – | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Qatar U23 0W / 0D / 1L
· momentum Qatar U23 0.83 ppg vs Al-Khor 2.0 ppg
Qatar U23 · last 6
05 Nov · Second Division
0-3
L
28 Oct · Second Division
2-2
D
15 Oct · Second Division
1-2
W
18 Sep · Asian Games
2-0
L
15 Sep · Asian Games
1-4
L
06 Sep · Second Division
1-1
D
Al-Khor · last 6
05 Nov · Second Division
0-3
W
28 Oct · Second Division
4-0
W
15 Oct · Second Division
1-4
W
29 Sep · QSL Cup
0-2
L
22 Sep · QSL Cup
2-0
L
07 Sep · Second Division
1-5
W
Head-to-head last 5
05 Nov 26 · Second Division
Qatar U23 0-3 Al-Khor
Tickets including this match