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CONCACAF Nations League

St. Vincent and the Grenadines vs Belize

Today 23:00 5 hours, 9 minutes
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 5.5 goals · 94.0%
why
• type ledger 91% (n=47)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 11.7% of matches
team history 4/4 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U5.5: 91.5% hit (n=47, 90d ledger)
measured band: 96.7% (n=30)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.4% hit (n=2540)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
94.0%
Under 5.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
85.2%
Draw
11.7%
Away win
3.1%
calibrated 11 Nov 17:02
scoring fit λ 2.46 / μ 0.29
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 06 Nov · None matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
3.1%
32.51x – risky
Draw
11.7%
8.53x – risky
top Home win
85.2%
1.17x – solid
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — St. Vincent a… 1W / 0D / 0L · momentum St. Vincent… 2.5 ppg vs Belize 1.0 ppg
St. Vincent and the Grenadines · last 6
06 Oct · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 4-0 W
03 Oct · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 2-4 W
30 Sep · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 0-1 W
26 Sep · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 2-1 W
30 Mar · CONCACAF Series 2-3 W
13 Nov · CONCACAF Series 2-0 L
Belize · last 6
07 Oct · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 1-0 L
04 Oct · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 0-2 L
30 Sep · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 0-1 L
27 Sep · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 0-1 W
30 Mar · CONCACAF Series 3-1 L
16 Nov · CONCACAF Series 0-1 W
Head-to-head last 5
30 Sep 26 · CONCACAF Nations Leag… Belize 0-1 St. Vincent and…