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Second NL
Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs Koprivnica
Sat 07 Nov 15:00 0 minutes final 2–0 · settled
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 90.2%
why
• league OK (72.7%, n=22)
• type ledger 80% (n=1994)
• SELECT 90%+ (measured >=88%)
league track
ok · 72.7% of 22 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 51.8%)
draws 23.3% of matches
team history 17/13 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1994, 90d ledger)
measured band: 90.9% (n=164)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
90.2%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
72.7%
Draw
17.5%
Away win
9.8%
calibrated 07 Nov 11:01
scoring fit λ 2.37 / μ 0.77
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 240 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
9.8%
|
10.21x | 45.8% n=240 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
17.5%
|
5.7x | 45.8% n=240 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
72.7%
|
1.38x | 45.8% n=240 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Hrvatski Drag… 1W / 0D / 0L
· momentum Hrvatski Dr… 1.67 ppg vs Koprivnica 0.17 ppg
Hrvatski Dragovoljac · last 6
07 Nov · Second NL
2-0
W
31 Oct · Second NL
1-5
W
24 Oct · Second NL
1-1
D
17 Oct · Second NL
3-0
L
09 Oct · Second NL
0-4
L
03 Oct · Second NL
1-4
W
Koprivnica · last 6
07 Nov · Second NL
2-0
L
31 Oct · Second NL
0-1
L
24 Oct · Second NL
2-0
L
17 Oct · Second NL
4-0
L
12 Oct · Second NL
1-2
L
03 Oct · Second NL
1-1
D
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Second NL
Hrvatski Dragov… 2-0 Koprivnica
Tickets including this match