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2. SNL
Tabor Sežana vs Primorje
Sat 07 Nov 01:00 0 minutes final 1–0 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 85.8%
book 1.19x · short <1.30x
why
• league OK (68.8%, n=32)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
• short price 1.19x
league track
ok · 68.8% of 32 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 51.4%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 17/18 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.9% (n=292)
night 00-06 kickoffs: 75.3% hit (n=473)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
85.8%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (85.8%)
@ 08 Nov 00:54 · 1.19x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
63.4%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
14.2%
calibrated 08 Nov 00:54
scoring fit λ 1.98 / μ 0.83
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 31 Oct · 362 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
14.2%
|
7.06x | 58.8% n=362 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
22.5%
|
4.45x | 58.8% n=362 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
63.4%
|
1.58x | 58.8% n=362 | lean | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — Tabor Sežana 1W / 0D / 1L
· momentum Tabor Sežana 2.5 ppg vs Primorje 1.33 ppg
Tabor Sežana · last 6
08 Nov · 2. SNL
1-0
W
31 Oct · 2. SNL
3-2
L
27 Oct · 2. SNL
2-0
W
23 Oct · Cup
1-0
W
16 Oct · 2. SNL
0-1
W
09 Oct · 2. SNL
1-0
W
Primorje · last 6
08 Nov · 2. SNL
1-0
L
01 Nov · 2. SNL
0-1
W
27 Oct · 2. SNL
1-0
W
17 Oct · 2. SNL
1-0
L
11 Oct · 2. SNL
1-1
D
03 Oct · 2. SNL
1-1
D
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · 2. SNL
Tabor Sežana 1-0 Primorje
29 Oct 25 · Cup
Tabor Sežana 1-4 Primorje