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1st Division
FK Kukesi vs Sopoti Librazhd
Sat 07 Nov 18:00 0 minutes final 0–0 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 90.0%
book 1.16x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (84.6%, n=26)
• type ledger 80% (n=1986)
• short price 1.16x
• SELECT 90%+ (measured >=88%)
league track
proven · 84.6% of 26 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 66.5%)
draws 36.7% of matches
team history 13/10 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1986, 90d ledger)
measured band: 90.8% (n=163)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.0% hit (n=2522)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
90.0%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (90.0%)
@ 07 Nov 18:01 · 1.16x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
68.2%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
10.0%
calibrated 07 Nov 18:01
scoring fit λ 2.31 / μ 0.84
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 30 Oct · 248 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
10.0%
|
10.04x | 48.0% n=248 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
21.9%
|
4.57x | 48.0% n=248 | risky | won |
| top Home win |
68.2%
|
1.47x | 48.0% n=248 | lean | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — FK Kukesi 0W / 1D / 0L
· momentum FK Kukesi 1.67 ppg vs Sopoti Libr… 0.5 ppg
FK Kukesi · last 6
07 Nov · 1st Division
0-0
D
01 Nov · 1st Division
2-0
L
28 Oct · 1st Division
1-0
W
24 Oct · 1st Division
1-2
W
17 Oct · 1st Division
2-0
W
10 Oct · 1st Division
1-0
L
Sopoti Librazhd · last 6
07 Nov · 1st Division
0-0
D
01 Nov · 1st Division
2-3
L
28 Oct · 1st Division
5-2
L
24 Oct · 1st Division
1-1
D
17 Oct · 1st Division
2-2
D
10 Oct · 1st Division
2-0
L
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · 1st Division
FK Kukesi 0-0 Sopoti Librazhd