HOME
UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Portugal U17 vs Andorra U17
Tomorrow 16:00 1 day, 9 hours
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 82.9%
why
• league OK (62.5%, n=8)
• type ledger 75% (n=2265)
league track
ok · 62.5% of 8 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 30.6%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 0/0 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.6% (n=679)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
82.9%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (82.9%)
@ 10 Nov 06:05
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
49.5%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
33.3%
calibrated 10 Nov 06:05
scoring fit λ 1.55 / μ 1.19
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 146 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
33.3%
|
3.0x | 57.5% n=146 | risky |
| Draw |
17.1%
|
5.84x | 57.5% n=146 | risky |
| top Home win |
49.5%
|
2.02x | 57.5% n=146 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
· momentum Portugal U17 1.17 ppg vs Andorra U17 0.67 ppg
Portugal U17 · last 6
31 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship…
1-2
L
28 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship…
0-1
L
25 Mar · UEFA U17 Championship…
3-2
L
18 Feb · Friendlies
1-0
W
15 Feb · Friendlies
5-0
W
13 Feb · Friendlies
1-1
D
Andorra U17 · last 6
16 Apr · UEFA U17 Championship…
3-1
W
13 Apr · UEFA U17 Championship…
1-0
L
10 Apr · UEFA U17 Championship…
0-0
D
14 Oct · UEFA U17 Championship…
1-5
L
11 Oct · UEFA U17 Championship…
4-1
L
08 Oct · UEFA U17 Championship…
3-0
L
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.