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Pro League A
Shortan vs Buxdu
Sat 07 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 3–0 · settledBu
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 93.4%
why
• league OK (66.7%, n=30)
• type ledger 80% (n=1993)
• SELECT 90%+ (measured >=88%)
league track
ok · 66.7% of 30 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 48.8%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 19/19 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1993, 90d ledger)
measured band: 90.9% (n=164)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
93.4%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
77.6%
Draw
15.8%
Away win
6.6%
calibrated 07 Nov 17:56
scoring fit λ 2.54 / μ 0.65
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 174 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
6.6%
|
15.13x | 59.2% n=174 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
15.8%
|
6.32x | 59.2% n=174 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
77.6%
|
1.29x | 59.2% n=174 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — Shortan 2W / 0D / 0L
· momentum Shortan 1.83 ppg vs Buxdu 1.0 ppg
Shortan · last 6
07 Nov · Pro League A
3-0
W
01 Nov · Pro League A
0-0
D
27 Oct · Pro League A
1-0
W
17 Oct · Pro League A
2-1
L
13 Oct · Pro League A
1-1
D
07 Oct · Pro League A
3-1
W
Buxdu · last 6
07 Nov · Pro League A
3-0
L
02 Nov · Pro League A
2-3
L
25 Oct · Pro League A
0-3
W
19 Oct · Pro League A
0-3
W
13 Oct · Pro League A
2-1
L
07 Oct · Pro League A
2-6
L
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Pro League A
Shortan 3-0 Buxdu
05 Aug 26 · Pro League A
Buxdu 2-4 Shortan