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1st League - RS
Leotar vs Drina Zvornik
Sat 07 Nov 14:30 0 minutes final 1–0 · settled
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 92.9%
why
• league PROVEN (80.8%, n=26)
• type ledger 80% (n=1994)
• SELECT 90%+ (measured >=88%)
league track
proven · 80.8% of 26 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 62.1%)
draws 21.7% of matches
team history 18/18 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1994, 90d ledger)
measured band: 90.9% (n=164)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
92.9%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
75.5%
Draw
17.4%
Away win
7.1%
calibrated 07 Nov 11:05
scoring fit λ 2.22 / μ 0.54
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 30 Oct · 305 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
7.1%
|
14.09x | 56.1% n=305 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
17.4%
|
5.75x | 56.1% n=305 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
75.5%
|
1.32x | 56.1% n=305 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 11 meetings — Leotar 3W / 6D / 2L
· momentum Leotar 2.17 ppg vs Drina Zvorn… 1.17 ppg
Leotar · last 6
07 Nov · 1st League - RS
1-0
W
28 Oct · Cup
1-0
L
24 Oct · 1st League - RS
1-1
D
21 Oct · 1st League - RS
3-0
W
17 Oct · 1st League - RS
1-0
W
10 Oct · 1st League - RS
1-2
W
Drina Zvornik · last 6
07 Nov · 1st League - RS
1-0
L
31 Oct · 1st League - RS
3-3
D
24 Oct · 1st League - RS
2-0
W
21 Oct · 1st League - RS
2-0
L
17 Oct · 1st League - RS
4-0
W
10 Oct · 1st League - RS
2-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · 1st League - RS
Leotar 1-0 Drina Zvornik
29 Aug 26 · 1st League - RS
Drina Zvornik 2-2 Leotar
30 May 26 · 1st League - RS
Leotar 2-2 Drina Zvornik
14 Mar 26 · 1st League - RS
Leotar 0-1 Drina Zvornik
20 Sep 25 · 1st League - RS
Drina Zvornik 1-1 Leotar
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