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CD Lunda-Sul vs Wiliete

Sun 08 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 1–2 · 1 won · 0 lost
Wi
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 80.3%
why
• league PROVEN (75.8%, n=33)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
league track
proven · 75.8% of 33 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 59.0%)
draws 31.7% of matches
team history 14/16 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 72.3% (n=65)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
80.3%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Safer
71.0%
Away, draw refunds
safest leg we would still back — lower variance, smaller payout.
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away solid (80.3%)
@ 08 Nov 17:26
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
19.7%
Draw
32.1%
Away win
48.2%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:26
scoring fit λ 0.84 / μ 1.42
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 261 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
48.2%
2.08x 49.0% n=261 risky won
Draw
32.1%
3.12x 49.0% n=261 risky lost
Home win
19.7%
5.07x 49.0% n=261 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 3 meetings — CD Lunda-Sul 0W / 1D / 2L · momentum CD Lunda-Sul 0.83 ppg vs Wiliete 2.0 ppg
CD Lunda-Sul · last 6
08 Nov · Girabola 1-2 L
01 Nov · Girabola 1-0 L
25 Oct · Girabola 3-1 W
17 Oct · Girabola 0-0 D
11 Oct · Girabola 0-0 D
21 Sep · Girabola 1-0 L
Wiliete · last 6
08 Nov · Girabola 1-2 W
04 Nov · Girabola 0-0 D
01 Nov · Girabola 3-0 W
28 Oct · Girabola 1-0 W
24 Oct · CAF Champions League 1-1 D
17 Oct · CAF Champions League 0-0 D
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Girabola CD Lunda-Sul 1-2 Wiliete
24 May 26 · Girabola Wiliete 0-0 CD Lunda-Sul
15 Feb 26 · Girabola CD Lunda-Sul 1-2 Wiliete