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Desportivo Huíla vs Kabuscorp

Sun 08 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 1–0 · 1 won · 0 lost
Ka
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 82.8%
why
• league PROVEN (75.8%, n=33)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
league track
proven · 75.8% of 33 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 59.0%)
draws 31.7% of matches
team history 14/14 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 82.0% (n=423)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
82.8%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw solid (82.8%)
@ 08 Nov 17:26
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
52.2%
Draw
30.6%
Away win
17.2%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:26
scoring fit λ 1.37 / μ 0.68
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 261 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
17.2%
5.81x 49.0% n=261 risky lost
Draw
30.6%
3.27x 49.0% n=261 risky lost
top Home win
52.2%
1.92x 49.0% n=261 risky won
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 9 meetings — Desportivo Hu… 5W / 2D / 2L · momentum Desportivo … 1.83 ppg vs Kabuscorp 0.33 ppg
Desportivo Huíla · last 6
12 Dec · Girabola 4-0 L
08 Nov · Girabola 1-0 W
30 Oct · Girabola 0-0 D
25 Oct · Girabola 2-1 W
18 Oct · Girabola 0-2 W
11 Oct · Girabola 0-0 D
Kabuscorp · last 6
08 Nov · Girabola 1-0 L
01 Nov · Girabola 0-0 D
24 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup 4-1 L
17 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup 1-4 L
13 Oct · Girabola 1-0 L
10 Oct · Girabola 1-1 D
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Girabola Desportivo Huíla 1-0 Kabuscorp
26 Apr 26 · Girabola Desportivo Huíla 2-0 Kabuscorp
28 Nov 25 · Girabola Kabuscorp 0-2 Desportivo Huíla
26 Feb 25 · Girabola Desportivo Huíla 1-0 Kabuscorp
28 Sep 24 · Girabola Kabuscorp 1-0 Desportivo Huíla