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Premier League
Van vs Pyunik Yerevan
Fri 06 Nov 13:00 0 minutes final 0–3 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 89.3%
book 1.23x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (80.8%, n=26)
• type ledger 75% (n=2264)
• short price 1.23x
league track
proven · 80.8% of 26 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 62.1%)
draws 21.7% of matches
team history 16/21 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2264, 90d ledger)
measured band: 80.0% (n=305)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3031)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
89.3%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (89.3%)
@ 06 Nov 10:46 · 1.23x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
2.0%
Draw
10.7%
Away win
87.4%
calibrated 06 Nov 10:46
scoring fit λ 0.24 / μ 2.57
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 31 Oct · 31 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
87.4%
|
1.15x | 67.7% n=31 | solid | won |
| Draw |
10.6%
|
9.39x | 67.7% n=31 | risky | lost |
| Home win |
2.0%
|
50.29x | 67.7% n=31 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 13 meetings — Van 3W / 0D / 10L
· momentum Van 1.67 ppg vs Pyunik Yere… 2.67 ppg
Van · last 6
06 Nov · Premier League
0-3
L
30 Oct · Premier League
2-2
D
26 Oct · Cup
2-1
W
23 Oct · Premier League
2-1
W
17 Oct · Premier League
5-2
L
10 Oct · Premier League
2-0
W
Pyunik Yerevan · last 6
06 Nov · Premier League
0-3
W
30 Oct · Premier League
1-0
W
27 Oct · Cup
6-2
W
23 Oct · Premier League
3-0
W
18 Oct · Premier League
1-1
D
12 Oct · Premier League
5-0
W
Head-to-head last 5
06 Nov 26 · Premier League
Van 0-3 Pyunik Yerevan
09 Aug 26 · Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan 3-0 Van
27 May 26 · Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan 2-1 Van
18 Oct 25 · Premier League
Van 2-1 Pyunik Yerevan
04 Oct 25 · Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan 5-1 Van