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Strabane Athletic vs Annagh United

Fri 06 Nov 21:45 0 minutes final 0–1 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 84.7%
book 1.19x · short <1.30x
why
• league OK (66.7%, n=33)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
• short price 1.19x
league track
ok · 66.7% of 33 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 49.6%)
draws 26.7% of matches
team history 19/18 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 72.3% (n=65)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
84.7%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away solid (84.7%)
@ 06 Nov 18:02 · 1.19x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
15.3%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
57.1%
calibrated 06 Nov 18:02
scoring fit λ 1.11 / μ 2.13
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 06 Nov · 332 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
57.1%
1.75x 48.2% n=332 lean won
Draw
27.7%
3.62x 48.2% n=332 risky lost
Home win
15.3%
6.55x 48.2% n=332 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Strabane Athl… 0W / 0D / 1L · momentum Strabane At… 0.33 ppg vs Annagh Unit… 2.17 ppg
Strabane Athletic · last 6
06 Nov · Championship 0-1 L
30 Oct · Championship 2-2 D
23 Oct · Championship 0-1 L
20 Oct · League Cup 0-5 L
16 Oct · Championship 1-1 D
10 Oct · Championship 1-0 L
Annagh United · last 6
06 Nov · Championship 0-1 W
31 Oct · Championship 0-3 W
24 Oct · Championship 5-1 W
20 Oct · League Cup 3-4 L
17 Oct · Championship 1-3 W
10 Oct · Championship 1-1 D
Head-to-head last 5
06 Nov 26 · Championship Strabane Athlet… 0-1 Annagh United
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 72.5% LOST VALUE win chance 72.5% VOID VALUE win chance 72.7% VOID