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Championnat National
Damissa vs Dynamo Abomey
Sun 08 Nov 17:00 0 minutes
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 78.0%
why
• league PROVEN (90.9%, n=22)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
league track
proven · 90.9% of 22 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 72.2%)
draws 35.0% of matches
team history 12/12 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 79.7% (n=576)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
78.0%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (78.0%)
@ 08 Nov 17:24
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
47.2%
Draw
30.8%
Away win
22.0%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:24
scoring fit λ 1.39 / μ 0.88
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 06 Nov · 368 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
22.0%
|
4.55x | 43.8% n=368 | risky |
| Draw |
30.8%
|
3.25x | 43.8% n=368 | risky |
| top Home win |
47.2%
|
2.12x | 43.8% n=368 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 10 meetings — Damissa 5W / 3D / 2L
· momentum Damissa 1.5 ppg vs Dynamo Abom… 0.67 ppg
Damissa · last 6
31 Oct · Championnat National
0-0
D
25 Oct · Championnat National
3-1
W
17 Oct · Championnat National
2-0
W
11 Oct · Championnat National
1-1
D
03 Oct · Championnat National
2-1
L
27 Sep · Championnat National
0-0
D
Dynamo Abomey · last 6
01 Nov · Championnat National
0-0
D
25 Oct · Championnat National
2-0
W
17 Oct · Championnat National
2-1
L
11 Oct · Championnat National
2-3
L
04 Oct · Championnat National
4-0
L
26 Sep · Championnat National
1-2
L
Head-to-head last 5
18 Apr 26 · Championnat National
Damissa 2-1 Dynamo Abomey
15 Nov 25 · Championnat National
Dynamo Abomey 1-0 Damissa
13 Apr 25 · Championnat National
Damissa 1-1 Dynamo Abomey
24 Nov 24 · Championnat National
Dynamo Abomey 1-0 Damissa
19 Jun 24 · Championnat National
Damissa 2-1 Dynamo Abomey