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Championnat National

Hodio vs ASVO Cotonou

Sun 08 Nov 17:00 0 minutes
AS
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 76.7%
why
• league PROVEN (90.9%, n=22)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
league track
proven · 90.9% of 22 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 72.2%)
draws 35.0% of matches
team history 12/12 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 79.7% (n=576)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
76.7%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw solid (76.7%)
@ 08 Nov 17:24
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
45.9%
Draw
30.8%
Away win
23.3%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:24
scoring fit λ 1.35 / μ 0.89
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 06 Nov · 368 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
23.3%
4.29x 43.8% n=368 risky
Draw
30.8%
3.25x 43.8% n=368 risky
top Home win
45.9%
2.18x 43.8% n=368 risky
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Hodio 0W / 1D / 0L · momentum Hodio 1.5 ppg vs ASVO Cotonou 1.67 ppg
Hodio · last 6
01 Nov · Championnat National 0-1 W
24 Oct · Championnat National 1-1 D
17 Oct · Championnat National 1-0 L
11 Oct · Championnat National 1-1 D
04 Oct · Championnat National 1-1 D
27 Sep · Championnat National 3-0 W
ASVO Cotonou · last 6
01 Nov · Championnat National 0-0 D
25 Oct · Championnat National 2-1 W
17 Oct · Championnat National 2-0 L
10 Oct · Championnat National 2-1 W
03 Oct · Championnat National 1-0 L
26 Sep · Championnat National 1-0 W
Head-to-head last 5
28 Feb 26 · Championnat National Hodio 0-0 ASVO Cotonou