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Championnat National

Kraké vs Coton Sport Ouidah

Sun 08 Nov 17:00 0 minutes
Co
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 4.5 goals · 90.2%
why
• league PROVEN (90.9%, n=22)
• type ledger 82% (n=109)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
proven · 90.9% of 22 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 72.2%)
draws 35.0% of matches
team history 12/12 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U4.5: 81.7% hit (n=109, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.8% (n=1085)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
90.2%
Under 4.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
39.0%
Draw
31.0%
Away win
30.0%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:24
scoring fit λ 1.30 / μ 1.12
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 06 Nov · 368 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
30.0%
3.33x 43.8% n=368 risky
Draw
31.0%
3.22x 43.8% n=368 risky
top Home win
39.0%
2.57x 43.8% n=368 risky
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 4 meetings — Kraké 1W / 1D / 2L · momentum Kraké 1.33 ppg vs Coton Sport… 1.17 ppg
Kraké · last 6
31 Oct · Championnat National 1-1 D
25 Oct · Championnat National 0-0 D
18 Oct · Championnat National 2-0 W
10 Oct · Championnat National 4-0 L
03 Oct · Championnat National 2-1 W
26 Sep · Championnat National 1-0 L
Coton Sport Ouidah · last 6
31 Oct · Championnat National 2-1 W
25 Oct · Championnat National 3-1 L
17 Oct · Championnat National 1-3 L
11 Oct · Championnat National 2-3 W
04 Oct · Championnat National 0-1 L
26 Sep · Championnat National 1-1 D
Head-to-head last 5
17 May 26 · Championnat National Coton Sport Oui… 1-2 Kraké
13 Dec 25 · Championnat National Kraké 1-2 Coton Sport Oui…
16 Mar 25 · Championnat National Kraké 0-0 Coton Sport Oui…
13 Nov 24 · Championnat National Coton Sport Oui… 1-0 Kraké