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Second League
Ohrid vs Kamjani
Sat 07 Nov 14:00 0 minutes final 4–0 · 1 won · 0 lostKa
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 90.3%
why
• league PROVEN (78.9%, n=19)
• type ledger 80% (n=1994)
• SELECT 90%+ (measured >=88%)
league track
proven · 78.9% of 19 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 56.7%)
draws 28.3% of matches
team history 14/13 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1994, 90d ledger)
measured band: 90.9% (n=164)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
90.3%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (90.3%)
@ 07 Nov 18:00
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
70.6%
Draw
19.8%
Away win
9.7%
calibrated 07 Nov 18:00
scoring fit λ 2.09 / μ 0.65
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 233 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
9.7%
|
10.33x | 64.8% n=233 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
19.8%
|
5.06x | 64.8% n=233 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
70.6%
|
1.42x | 64.8% n=233 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Ohrid 1W / 0D / 0L
· momentum Ohrid 2.67 ppg vs Kamjani 1.17 ppg
Ohrid · last 6
07 Nov · Second League
4-0
W
31 Oct · Second League
0-3
W
24 Oct · Second League
1-0
W
17 Oct · Second League
0-2
W
10 Oct · Second League
2-2
D
24 Sep · Second League
0-2
W
Kamjani · last 6
07 Nov · Second League
4-0
L
31 Oct · Second League
3-1
W
24 Oct · Second League
0-2
W
17 Oct · Second League
0-0
D
10 Oct · Second League
5-1
L
26 Sep · Friendlies Clubs
0-3
L
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Second League
Ohrid 4-0 Kamjani