Os
HOME
Second League
Osogovo vs FK Rabotnicki
Sat 07 Nov 14:00 0 minutes final 0–3 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 82.7%
why
• league PROVEN (78.9%, n=19)
• type ledger 75% (n=2280)
league track
proven · 78.9% of 19 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 56.7%)
draws 28.3% of matches
team history 14/15 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.2% hit (n=2280, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.6% (n=683)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3034)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
82.7%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (82.7%)
@ 07 Nov 18:00
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
6.7%
Draw
17.3%
Away win
76.0%
calibrated 07 Nov 18:00
scoring fit λ 0.60 / μ 2.37
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 284 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
76.0%
|
1.32x | 52.8% n=284 | solid | won |
| Draw |
17.3%
|
5.77x | 52.8% n=284 | risky | lost |
| Home win |
6.7%
|
14.92x | 52.8% n=284 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Osogovo 0W / 0D / 1L
· momentum Osogovo 1.0 ppg vs FK Rabotnic… 2.5 ppg
Osogovo · last 6
07 Nov · Second League
0-3
L
31 Oct · Second League
0-0
D
24 Oct · Second League
3-1
W
17 Oct · Second League
3-0
L
10 Oct · Second League
1-1
D
19 Sep · Second League
0-0
D
FK Rabotnicki · last 6
07 Nov · Second League
0-3
W
31 Oct · Second League
3-1
W
28 Oct · Cup
3-2
W
24 Oct · Second League
1-0
L
17 Oct · Second League
4-0
W
14 Oct · Cup
0-8
W
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Second League
Osogovo 0-3 FK Rabotnicki