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Prva Liga

Napredak vs Ofk Bor 1919

Sat 07 Nov 19:00 0 minutes final 2–0 · settled
Of
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 86.2%
why
• league PROVEN (74.1%, n=27)
• type ledger 79% (n=1995)
league track
proven · 74.1% of 27 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 55.3%)
draws 28.3% of matches
team history 21/17 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.0% hit (n=1995, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.3% (n=293)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.4% hit (n=2540)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
86.2%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
61.3%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
13.8%
calibrated 07 Nov 17:58
scoring fit λ 1.80 / μ 0.75
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 300 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
13.8%
7.25x 48.7% n=300 risky lost
Draw
24.9%
4.01x 48.7% n=300 risky lost
top Home win
61.3%
1.63x 48.7% n=300 lean won
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — Napredak 2W / 0D / 0L · momentum Napredak 1.33 ppg vs Ofk Bor 1919 0.0 ppg
Napredak · last 6
07 Nov · Prva Liga 2-0 W
01 Nov · Prva Liga 2-0 L
27 Oct · Cup 2-0 L
24 Oct · Prva Liga 0-0 D
17 Oct · Prva Liga 1-0 W
11 Oct · Prva Liga 0-0 D
Ofk Bor 1919 · last 6
07 Nov · Prva Liga 2-0 L
01 Nov · Prva Liga 0-1 L
24 Oct · Prva Liga 0-2 L
17 Oct · Prva Liga 3-0 L
11 Oct · Prva Liga 1-4 L
03 Oct · Prva Liga 2-0 L
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Prva Liga Napredak 2-0 Ofk Bor 1919
08 Aug 26 · Prva Liga Ofk Bor 1919 0-1 Napredak