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Super League 2
Anagennisi Karditsas vs Marko
Sun 08 Nov 15:00 0 minutes final 1–1 · 1 won · 0 lostMa
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 87.7%
book 1.22x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (69.6%, n=46)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
• short price 1.22x
league track
proven · 69.6% of 46 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 55.2%)
draws 28.3% of matches
team history 11/14 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 85.1% (n=87)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
87.7%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away
solid (87.7%)
@ 08 Nov 10:38 · 1.22x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
12.3%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
62.5%
calibrated 08 Nov 10:38
scoring fit λ 0.61 / μ 1.68
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 253 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
62.5%
|
1.6x | 56.1% n=253 | lean | lost |
| Draw |
25.2%
|
3.97x | 56.1% n=253 | risky | won |
| Home win |
12.3%
|
8.11x | 56.1% n=253 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Anagennisi Ka… 0W / 1D / 0L
· momentum Anagennisi … 1.67 ppg vs Marko 1.83 ppg
Anagennisi Karditsas · last 6
08 Nov · Super League 2
1-1
D
01 Nov · Super League 2
2-1
L
25 Oct · Super League 2
1-0
W
18 Oct · Super League 2
0-1
W
12 Oct · Super League 2
3-0
W
04 Oct · Super League 2
2-0
L
Marko · last 6
08 Nov · Super League 2
1-1
D
01 Nov · Super League 2
2-0
W
28 Oct · Cup
0-2
L
25 Oct · Super League 2
0-4
W
18 Oct · Super League 2
0-0
D
11 Oct · Super League 2
1-0
W
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Super League 2
Anagennisi Kard… 1-1 Marko