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I Liga - Women
Spartak Myjava Women vs Tatran Prešov Women
Sat 07 Nov 14:00 0 minutes final 3–0 · settledTa
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Over 1.5 goals · 93.1%
why
• league OK (72.2%, n=18)
• type ledger 69% (n=403)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
ok · 72.2% of 18 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 49.1%)
draws 8.3% of matches
team history 20/16 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-O1.5: 69.5% hit (n=403, 90d ledger)
measured band: 88.4% (n=258)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
93.1%
Over 1.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
94.6%
Draw
3.4%
Away win
2.0%
calibrated 07 Nov 18:00
scoring fit λ 4.45 / μ 0.64
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 128 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
2.0%
|
50.25x | 71.1% n=128 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
3.4%
|
29.49x | 71.1% n=128 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
94.6%
|
1.06x | 71.1% n=128 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 12 meetings — Spartak Myjav… 12W / 0D / 0L
· momentum Spartak Myj… 2.17 ppg vs Tatran Preš… 0.83 ppg
Spartak Myjava Women · last 6
07 Nov · I Liga - Women
3-0
W
28 Oct · UEFA Women’s Champion…
1-3
L
24 Oct · I Liga - Women
1-4
W
17 Oct · I Liga - Women
0-5
W
03 Oct · I Liga - Women
6-0
W
30 Sep · UEFA Women’s Champion…
1-1
D
Tatran Prešov Women · last 6
07 Nov · I Liga - Women
3-0
L
31 Oct · I Liga - Women
1-1
D
24 Oct · I Liga - Women
2-1
L
17 Oct · I Liga - Women
3-1
L
03 Oct · I Liga - Women
0-0
D
26 Sep · I Liga - Women
1-2
W
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · I Liga - Women
Spartak Myjava … 3-0 Tatran Prešov W…
29 Aug 26 · I Liga - Women
Tatran Prešov W… 1-7 Spartak Myjava …
13 Jun 26 · I Liga - Women
Spartak Myjava … 11-1 Tatran Prešov W…
29 Apr 26 · I Liga - Women
Tatran Prešov W… 0-2 Spartak Myjava …
01 Nov 25 · I Liga - Women
Spartak Myjava … 4-0 Tatran Prešov W…
Tickets including this match