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San Marino Academy vs San Giovanni

Sun 08 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 0–0 · 1 won · 0 lost
Sa
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 78.2%
book 1.39x · even 1.30-1.55x
why
• league OK (75.0%, n=20)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
• priced 1.39x - band hits ~65% (60d)
league track
ok · 75.0% of 20 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 53.1%)
draws 28.3% of matches
team history 8/10 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 77.3% (n=128)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
78.2%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away solid (78.2%)
@ 08 Nov 10:36 · 1.39x
board also had Under 4.5 goals 84.8% pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
21.8%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
51.0%
calibrated 08 Nov 10:36
scoring fit λ 1.00 / μ 1.63
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 03 Nov · 320 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
51.0%
1.96x 62.2% n=320 risky lost
Draw
27.2%
3.68x 62.2% n=320 risky won
Home win
21.8%
4.59x 62.2% n=320 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 7 meetings — San Marino Ac… 0W / 4D / 3L · momentum San Marino … 0.5 ppg vs San Giovanni 1.0 ppg
San Marino Academy · last 6
08 Nov · Campionato 0-0 D
31 Oct · Campionato 1-1 D
23 Oct · Campionato 0-4 L
11 Oct · Campionato 5-0 L
19 Sep · Campionato 2-0 L
13 Sep · Campionato 0-0 D
San Giovanni · last 6
08 Nov · Campionato 0-0 D
01 Nov · Campionato 2-1 W
28 Oct · Coppa Titano 1-1 D
23 Oct · Campionato 2-2 D
10 Oct · Campionato 0-1 L
20 Sep · Campionato 0-3 L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Campionato San Marino Acad… 0-0 San Giovanni
11 Apr 26 · Campionato San Giovanni 1-0 San Marino Acad…
13 Dec 25 · Campionato San Marino Acad… 1-1 San Giovanni
15 Feb 25 · Campionato San Giovanni 1-1 San Marino Acad…
19 Oct 24 · Campionato San Marino Acad… 2-2 San Giovanni
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 79.3% VOID VALUE win chance 79.3% VOID VALUE win chance 79.3% VOID VALUE win chance 79.3% VOID TREBLE win chance 71.1% VOID