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Botola 2
Olympique Khouribga vs Mouloudia Oujda
Sun 08 Nov 19:00 0 minutes final 2–0 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 84.7%
why
• league PROVEN (82.6%, n=23)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
league track
proven · 82.6% of 23 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 62.9%)
draws 28.3% of matches
team history 7/13 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 82.0% (n=423)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2518)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
84.7%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (84.7%)
@ 08 Nov 17:27
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
60.2%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
15.3%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:27
scoring fit λ 1.91 / μ 0.88
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 01 Nov · 314 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
15.3%
|
6.54x | 41.1% n=314 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
24.4%
|
4.09x | 41.1% n=314 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
60.3%
|
1.66x | 41.1% n=314 | lean | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — Olympique Kho… 1W / 0D / 1L
· momentum Olympique K… 1.5 ppg vs Mouloudia O… 1.33 ppg
Olympique Khouribga · last 6
08 Nov · Botola 2
2-0
W
01 Nov · Botola 2
1-1
D
25 Oct · Botola 2
1-1
D
18 Oct · Botola 2
1-1
D
10 Oct · Botola 2
2-1
L
03 Oct · Botola 2
4-0
W
Mouloudia Oujda · last 6
08 Nov · Botola 2
2-0
L
01 Nov · Botola 2
1-0
W
25 Oct · Botola 2
2-1
L
17 Oct · Botola 2
2-2
D
11 Oct · Botola 2
2-2
D
03 Oct · Botola 2
2-1
W
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Botola 2
Olympique Khour… 2-0 Mouloudia Oujda
15 May 24 · Cup
Olympique Khour… 0-1 Mouloudia Oujda