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Division One League
Real Tamale vs Wa Power
Sat 07 Nov 17:00 0 minutes final 1–0 · settledWa
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 92.1%
why
• league PROVEN (80.0%, n=25)
• type ledger 79% (n=1997)
• SELECT 90%+ (measured >=88%)
league track
proven · 80.0% of 25 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 60.9%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 7/6 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.0% hit (n=1997, 90d ledger)
measured band: 92.7% (n=164)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 76.6% hit (n=3046)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
92.1%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
75.8%
Draw
16.4%
Away win
7.9%
calibrated 07 Nov 18:00
scoring fit λ 2.06 / μ 0.47
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 721 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
7.9%
|
12.67x | 51.7% n=721 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
16.4%
|
6.11x | 51.7% n=721 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
75.7%
|
1.32x | 51.7% n=721 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 10 meetings — Real Tamale 4W / 2D / 4L
· momentum Real Tamale 2.17 ppg vs Wa Power 0.67 ppg
Real Tamale · last 6
07 Nov · Division One League
1-0
W
31 Oct · Division One League
1-1
D
17 Oct · Division One League
0-1
W
10 Oct · Division One League
1-0
W
03 Oct · Division One League
1-0
L
27 Sep · Division One League
4-1
W
Wa Power · last 6
07 Nov · Division One League
1-0
L
31 Oct · Division One League
0-2
L
17 Oct · Division One League
2-0
L
11 Oct · Division One League
3-0
W
03 Oct · Division One League
1-1
D
27 Sep · Division One League
0-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Division One League
Real Tamale 1-0 Wa Power
03 May 26 · Division One League
Wa Power 1-0 Real Tamale
21 Feb 26 · Division One League
Real Tamale 3-1 Wa Power
25 Jan 26 · Division One League
Wa Power 1-1 Real Tamale
04 Jan 26 · Division One League
Wa Power 1-0 Real Tamale
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