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Division One League
Great Olympics vs Kotoku Royals
Sat 07 Nov 17:00 0 minutes final 3–0 · 1 won · 0 lostKo
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 85.2%
why
• league PROVEN (80.0%, n=25)
• type ledger 78% (n=2311)
league track
proven · 80.0% of 25 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 60.9%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 8/7 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 78.5% hit (n=2311, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.6% (n=311)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 76.6% hit (n=3052)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
85.2%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (85.2%)
@ 07 Nov 16:39
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
83.2%
Draw
14.8%
Away win
2.0%
calibrated 07 Nov 16:39
scoring fit λ 1.99 / μ 0.12
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 721 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
2.0%
|
50.55x | 51.7% n=721 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
14.8%
|
6.74x | 51.7% n=721 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
83.2%
|
1.2x | 51.7% n=721 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Great Olympics 1W / 0D / 0L
· momentum Great Olymp… 1.5 ppg vs Kotoku Roya… 0.17 ppg
Great Olympics · last 6
07 Nov · Division One League
3-0
W
31 Oct · Division One League
0-1
W
17 Oct · Division One League
2-1
W
10 Oct · Division One League
2-1
L
03 Oct · Division One League
1-2
L
27 Sep · Division One League
1-0
L
Kotoku Royals · last 6
07 Nov · Division One League
3-0
L
31 Oct · Division One League
1-0
L
17 Oct · Division One League
0-1
L
11 Oct · Division One League
2-0
L
03 Oct · Division One League
0-2
L
27 Sep · Division One League
0-0
D
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Division One League
Great Olympics 3-0 Kotoku Royals