HOME
UEFA Champions League Women

Juventus Women vs Lyon Women

Tomorrow 22:00 1 day, 14 hours
Ly
AWAY
back to predictions
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 6.5 goals · 89.9%
why
• league OK (55.6%, n=18)
• type ledger 100% (n=28)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
ok · 55.6% of 18 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 33.7%)
draws 21.7% of matches
team history 20/13 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U6.5: 100.0% hit (n=28, 90d ledger)
measured band: 90.9% (n=339)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
89.9%
Under 6.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
34.3%
Draw
18.9%
Away win
46.7%
calibrated 10 Nov 06:09
scoring fit λ 1.66 / μ 1.97
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 121 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
46.7%
2.14x 52.1% n=121 risky
Draw
19.0%
5.28x 52.1% n=121 risky
Home win
34.3%
2.91x 52.1% n=121 risky
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 7 meetings — Juventus Women 1W / 3D / 3L · momentum Juventus Wo… 1.5 ppg vs Lyon Women 3.0 ppg
Juventus Women · last 6
07 Nov · Serie A Women 2-1 W
31 Oct · Serie A Women 1-2 W
29 Oct · UEFA Champions League… 1-4 W
24 Oct · Serie A Women 2-5 L
18 Oct · Serie A Women 2-4 L
04 Oct · Serie A Women 2-1 L
Lyon Women · last 6
07 Nov · Feminine Division 1 1-7 W
31 Oct · Feminine Division 1 2-5 W
28 Oct · UEFA Champions League… 6-0 W
24 Oct · Feminine Division 1 5-0 W
18 Oct · Feminine Division 1 0-4 W
03 Oct · Feminine Division 1 5-0 W
Head-to-head last 5
19 Nov 25 · UEFA Champions League… Juventus Women 3-3 Lyon Women
21 Dec 22 · UEFA Champions League… Lyon Women 0-0 Juventus Women
27 Oct 22 · UEFA Champions League… Juventus Women 1-1 Lyon Women
31 Mar 22 · UEFA Champions League… Lyon Women 3-1 Juventus Women
23 Mar 22 · UEFA Champions League… Juventus Women 2-1 Lyon Women