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Premier League
Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles
Sun 08 Nov 17:30 0 minutes final 0–0 · 0 won · 1 lostYo
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Either team wins · 77.9%
why
• league SUSPENDED (67.7%, n=31)
• type ledger 75% (n=2258)
• league's published legs underperform
league track
None · 67.7% of 31 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 50.1%)
draws 23.3% of matches
team history 11/12 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2258, 90d ledger)
measured band: 74.8% (n=938)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
77.9%
Either team wins
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (77.9%)
@ 08 Nov 17:27
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
71.8%
Draw
22.1%
Away win
6.1%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:27
scoring fit λ 2.10 / μ 0.54
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 31 Oct · 31 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
6.1%
|
16.51x | 67.7% n=31 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
22.1%
|
4.52x | 67.7% n=31 | risky | won |
| top Home win |
71.8%
|
1.39x | 67.7% n=31 | solid | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Ashanti Gold 0W / 1D / 0L
· momentum Ashanti Gold 1.33 ppg vs Young Apost… 0.83 ppg
Ashanti Gold · last 6
08 Nov · Premier League
0-0
D
01 Nov · Premier League
1-2
W
25 Oct · Premier League
1-1
D
18 Oct · Premier League
1-0
L
11 Oct · Premier League
1-0
W
04 Oct · Premier League
3-2
L
Young Apostles · last 6
08 Nov · Premier League
0-0
D
01 Nov · Premier League
0-0
D
25 Oct · Premier League
1-2
L
18 Oct · Premier League
2-1
L
11 Oct · Premier League
1-0
W
04 Oct · Premier League
1-0
L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Premier League
Ashanti Gold 0-0 Young Apostles