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Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan FC vs Malavan Bandar Anzali
Fri 06 Nov 14:00 0 minutes final 4–0 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 92.3%
book 1.12x · short <1.30x
why
• league OK (68.2%, n=44)
• type ledger 80% (n=1994)
• short price 1.12x
• SELECT 90%+ (measured >=88%)
league track
ok · 68.2% of 44 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 53.4%)
draws 33.3% of matches
team history 12/11 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1994, 90d ledger)
measured band: 90.9% (n=164)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
92.3%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (92.3%)
@ 06 Nov 10:43 · 1.12x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
62.9%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
7.7%
calibrated 06 Nov 10:43
scoring fit λ 1.88 / μ 0.64
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 206 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
7.7%
|
12.99x | 46.1% n=206 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
29.4%
|
3.41x | 46.1% n=206 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
62.9%
|
1.59x | 46.1% n=206 | lean | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 11 meetings — Sepahan FC 4W / 6D / 1L
· momentum Sepahan FC 2.67 ppg vs Malavan Ban… 0.83 ppg
Sepahan FC · last 6
06 Nov · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
4-0
W
30 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
1-2
W
25 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
4-0
W
18 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
0-0
D
13 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
1-2
W
08 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
6-1
W
Malavan Bandar Anzali · last 6
06 Nov · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
4-0
L
30 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
1-2
L
25 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
1-1
D
13 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
1-2
L
08 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
1-1
D
07 Sep · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
1-2
W
Head-to-head last 5
06 Nov 26 · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
Sepahan FC 4-0 Malavan Bandar …
17 Jan 26 · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
Sepahan FC 0-0 Malavan Bandar …
19 Aug 25 · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
Malavan Bandar … 1-1 Sepahan FC
26 Apr 25 · Hazfi Cup
Malavan Bandar … 0-0 Sepahan FC
07 Feb 25 · Persian Gulf Pro Leag…
Malavan Bandar … 1-1 Sepahan FC
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