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UEFA Champions League Women

Roma Women vs Servette Chênois Women

Tomorrow 22:00 1 day, 17 hours
Se
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 6.5 goals · 89.9%
why
• league OK (55.6%, n=18)
• type ledger 100% (n=28)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
ok · 55.6% of 18 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 33.7%)
draws 21.7% of matches
team history 16/21 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U6.5: 100.0% hit (n=28, 90d ledger)
measured band: 90.7% (n=313)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2518)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
89.9%
Under 6.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
51.9%
Draw
19.0%
Away win
29.1%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:54
scoring fit λ 2.07 / μ 1.50
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 121 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
29.1%
3.43x 52.1% n=121 risky
Draw
19.0%
5.27x 52.1% n=121 risky
top Home win
51.9%
1.93x 52.1% n=121 risky
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Roma Women 2.5 ppg vs Servette Ch… 2.17 ppg
Roma Women · last 6
07 Nov · Serie A Women 0-4 W
31 Oct · Serie A Women 2-1 W
28 Oct · UEFA Champions League… 2-0 L
24 Oct · Serie A Women 2-5 W
18 Oct · Serie A Women 4-2 W
03 Oct · Serie A Women 3-1 W
Servette Chênois Women · last 6
07 Nov · Nationalliga A Women 1-3 W
01 Nov · Nationalliga A Women 3-3 D
28 Oct · UEFA Champions League… 5-1 W
16 Oct · Nationalliga A Women 4-1 W
04 Oct · Nationalliga A Women 0-3 W
01 Oct · UEFA Champions League… 3-0 L
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.