NetScore Engine v2

Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK

RISK

Home win · 94.6%

why

• league PROVEN (88.0%, n=25)

• type ledger 56% (n=234)

• priced 1.04x needs 96% to break even

league track

proven · 88.0% of 25 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 70.0%)

draws 11.7% of matches

team history 23/15 games (180d)

bet type · time of day

FTR-H: 56.4% hit (n=234, 90d ledger)

measured band: 90.2% (n=51)

afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 76.6% hit (n=3052)

What we suggest

All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.

Recommended

94.6%

Home win

engine's strongest option for this match

MED risk

Value

No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.

PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade

1X2 — engine vs market

Home win

94.6%

Draw

3.4%

Away win

2.0%

calibrated 07 Nov 11:03

scoring fit λ 3.31 / μ 0.21

model–market gap 0.0%

Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID

backtested 28 Oct · 135 matches of this league

fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.

1X2

pick	chance	fair	backtest	verdict	result
Away win	2.0%	50.74x	66.7% n=135	risky	lost
Draw	3.4%	29.12x	66.7% n=135	risky	lost
top Home win	94.6%	1.06x	66.7% n=135	solid	won

Form & head-to-head

H2H record: 2 meetings — Brann Women 2W / 0D / 0L · momentum Brann Women 2.67 ppg vs Molde Women 0.5 ppg

Brann Women · last 6

10 Nov · UEFA Women’s Champion… 1-5 W

07 Nov · Toppserien 2-0 W

01 Nov · Toppserien 1-4 W

28 Oct · UEFA Women’s Champion… 3-0 W

24 Oct · Toppserien 1-0 W

17 Oct · Toppserien 1-1 D

Molde Women · last 6

07 Nov · Toppserien 2-0 L

31 Oct · Toppserien 3-1 W

24 Oct · Toppserien 2-1 L

17 Oct · Toppserien 2-0 L

04 Oct · Toppserien 0-3 L

26 Sep · Toppserien 0-4 L

Head-to-head last 5

07 Nov 26 · Toppserien Brann Women 2-0 Molde Women

20 Mar 26 · Toppserien Molde Women 0-5 Brann Women

Brann Women vs Molde Women