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Kvindeliga
Midtjylland Women vs Odense Women
Tomorrow 20:00 1 day, 16 hoursOd
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 5.5 goals · 91.3%
why
• league PROVEN (100.0%, n=14)
• type ledger 91% (n=47)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
proven · 100.0% of 14 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 78.5%)
draws 13.3% of matches
team history 16/16 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U5.5: 91.5% hit (n=47, 90d ledger)
measured band: 96.7% (n=30)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2518)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
91.3%
Under 5.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
54.6%
Draw
15.2%
Away win
30.2%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:53
scoring fit λ 1.80 / μ 1.23
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 134 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
30.2%
|
3.31x | 58.2% n=134 | risky |
| Draw |
15.2%
|
6.6x | 58.2% n=134 | risky |
| top Home win |
54.6%
|
1.83x | 58.2% n=134 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 5 meetings — Midtjylland W… 2W / 1D / 2L
· momentum Midtjylland… 1.67 ppg vs Odense Women 1.17 ppg
Midtjylland Women · last 6
03 Nov · Kvindeliga
0-2
W
24 Oct · Kvindeliga
1-2
W
18 Oct · Kvindeliga
0-0
D
03 Oct · Kvindeliga
1-0
L
27 Sep · Kvindeliga
2-0
W
19 Sep · Kvindeliga
4-0
L
Odense Women · last 6
31 Oct · Kvindeliga
2-0
L
25 Oct · Kvindeliga
0-1
L
17 Oct · Kvindeliga
1-2
W
04 Oct · Kvindeliga
0-3
L
29 Sep · Kvindeliga
1-0
W
19 Sep · Kvindeliga
1-1
D
Head-to-head last 5
29 Aug 26 · Kvindeliga
Odense Women 0-2 Midtjylland Wom…
30 May 26 · Kvindeliga
Midtjylland Wom… 2-2 Odense Women
04 Apr 26 · Kvindeliga
Odense Women 3-1 Midtjylland Wom…
04 Oct 25 · Kvindeliga
Midtjylland Wom… 0-3 Odense Women
14 Sep 25 · Kvindeliga
Odense Women 0-1 Midtjylland Wom…