NetScore Engine v2

Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK

RISK

Home or Draw · 76.6%

book 1.45x · even 1.30-1.55x

why

• league PROVEN (82.6%, n=23)

• type ledger 80% (n=1980)

• priced 1.45x - band hits ~65% (60d)

• 1X in a 10-20pp mismatch is the draw dead zone (90d: 75.9% hit, -25.6% ROI)

league track

proven · 82.6% of 23 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 62.9%)

draws 28.3% of matches

team history 14/14 games (180d)

bet type · time of day

DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)

measured band: 79.7% (n=576)

afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)

What we suggest

All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.

Strongest leg · risky

76.6%

Home or Draw

top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.

HIGH risk

Value

No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.

PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade

Pick validation — what the engine actually published

This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.

Home or Draw solid (76.6%)

@ 08 Nov 17:27 · 1.45x

pick lost

1X2 — engine vs market

Home win

47.6%

Draw

29.0%

Away win

23.4%

calibrated 08 Nov 17:27

scoring fit λ 1.50 / μ 0.99

model–market gap 0.0%

Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID

backtested 01 Nov · 314 matches of this league

fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.

1X2

pick	chance	fair	backtest	verdict	result
Away win	23.4%	4.27x	41.1% n=314	risky	won
Draw	29.0%	3.45x	41.1% n=314	risky	lost
top Home win	47.6%	2.1x	41.1% n=314	risky	lost

Form & head-to-head

H2H record: 6 meetings — Chabab Atlas … 3W / 1D / 2L · momentum Chabab Atla… 0.67 ppg vs Riadi Salmi 0.83 ppg

Chabab Atlas Khénifra · last 6

08 Nov · Botola 2 0-1 L

01 Nov · Botola 2 1-0 L

25 Oct · Botola 2 4-2 W

17 Oct · Botola 2 2-1 L

11 Oct · Botola 2 1-1 D

03 Oct · Botola 2 4-0 L

Riadi Salmi · last 6

08 Nov · Botola 2 0-1 W

01 Nov · Botola 2 1-1 D

25 Oct · Botola 2 2-1 L

18 Oct · Botola 2 1-4 L

11 Oct · Botola 2 1-0 L

04 Oct · Botola 2 0-0 D

Head-to-head last 5

08 Nov 26 · Botola 2 Chabab Atlas Kh… 0-1 Riadi Salmi

09 May 26 · Botola 2 Riadi Salmi 0-1 Chabab Atlas Kh…

22 Nov 25 · Botola 2 Chabab Atlas Kh… 1-1 Riadi Salmi

25 Jun 21 · Botola 2 Chabab Atlas Kh… 2-0 Riadi Salmi

07 Mar 21 · Botola 2 Riadi Salmi 1-0 Chabab Atlas Kh…

Chabab Atlas Khénifra vs Riadi Salmi