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1. Liga Promotion
Biel-Bienne vs Kreuzlingen
Sun 08 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 3–1 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 86.4%
book 1.19x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (92.6%, n=27)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
• short price 1.19x
league track
proven · 92.6% of 27 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 76.6%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 22/19 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.9% (n=292)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
86.4%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (86.4%)
@ 08 Nov 10:37 · 1.19x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
69.7%
Draw
16.7%
Away win
13.6%
calibrated 08 Nov 10:37
scoring fit λ 2.46 / μ 0.99
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 29 Oct · 458 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
13.6%
|
7.35x | 51.5% n=458 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
16.7%
|
5.98x | 51.5% n=458 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
69.7%
|
1.44x | 51.5% n=458 | lean | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 3 meetings — Biel-Bienne 2W / 1D / 0L
· momentum Biel-Bienne 1.5 ppg vs Kreuzlingen 1.0 ppg
Biel-Bienne · last 6
08 Nov · 1. Liga Promotion
3-1
W
04 Nov · 1. Liga Promotion
3-2
L
31 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion
1-1
D
25 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion
2-2
D
11 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion
2-2
D
03 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion
1-2
W
Kreuzlingen · last 6
08 Nov · 1. Liga Promotion
3-1
L
31 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion
2-3
L
25 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion
5-2
L
21 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion
2-3
L
11 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion
2-3
W
30 Sep · 1. Liga Promotion
3-0
W
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · 1. Liga Promotion
Biel-Bienne 3-1 Kreuzlingen
23 May 26 · 1. Liga Promotion
Biel-Bienne 4-0 Kreuzlingen
15 Nov 25 · 1. Liga Promotion
Kreuzlingen 1-1 Biel-Bienne
Tickets including this match