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Vysshaya Liga Women
Zvezda Perm Women vs Dinamo Moskva
Sat 07 Nov 10:00 0 minutes final 0–0 · 1 won · 0 lostDi
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 79.0%
book 1.36x · even 1.30-1.55x
why
• league PROVEN (78.9%, n=19)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
• priced 1.36x - band hits ~65% (60d)
league track
proven · 78.9% of 19 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 56.7%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 17/17 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 77.3% (n=128)
morning 06-12 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=385)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
79.0%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away
solid (79.0%)
@ 07 Nov 09:10 · 1.36x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
21.0%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
50.3%
calibrated 07 Nov 09:10
scoring fit λ 0.91 / μ 1.53
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 148 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
50.3%
|
1.99x | 67.6% n=148 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
28.7%
|
3.48x | 67.6% n=148 | risky | won |
| Home win |
21.0%
|
4.75x | 67.6% n=148 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 9 meetings — Zvezda Perm W… 2W / 5D / 2L
· momentum Zvezda Perm… 1.0 ppg vs Dinamo Mosk… 1.33 ppg
Zvezda Perm Women · last 6
07 Nov · Vysshaya Liga Women
0-0
D
31 Oct · Vysshaya Liga Women
2-0
L
18 Oct · Vysshaya Liga Women
0-1
W
03 Oct · Vysshaya Liga Women
1-1
D
20 Sep · Vysshaya Liga Women
1-1
D
12 Sep · Vysshaya Liga Women
2-0
L
Dinamo Moskva · last 6
07 Nov · Vysshaya Liga Women
0-0
D
31 Oct · Vysshaya Liga Women
5-0
W
24 Oct · Vysshaya Liga Women
1-2
L
18 Oct · Vysshaya Liga Women
1-1
D
03 Oct · Vysshaya Liga Women
1-0
W
19 Sep · Vysshaya Liga Women
3-0
L
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Vysshaya Liga Women
Zvezda Perm Wom… 0-0 Dinamo Moskva
27 Jun 26 · Vysshaya Liga Women
Dinamo Moskva 0-0 Zvezda Perm Wom…
27 Sep 25 · Vysshaya Liga Women
Zvezda Perm Wom… 1-1 Dinamo Moskva
10 May 25 · Vysshaya Liga Women
Dinamo Moskva 0-0 Zvezda Perm Wom…
20 Oct 24 · Vysshaya Liga Women
Zvezda Perm Wom… 2-0 Dinamo Moskva