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Youth Championship
Dinamo Moskva U19 vs Ural U20
Fri 06 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 1–3 · 1 won · 0 lostUr
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 85.7%
why
• league PROVEN (73.3%, n=60)
• type ledger 75% (n=2264)
league track
proven · 73.3% of 60 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 61.0%)
draws 16.7% of matches
team history 20/20 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2264, 90d ledger)
measured band: 80.0% (n=305)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
85.7%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Safer
80.1%
Home or Draw
safest leg we would still back — lower variance, smaller payout.
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (85.7%)
@ 06 Nov 10:45
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
65.8%
Draw
14.3%
Away win
19.9%
calibrated 06 Nov 10:45
scoring fit λ 2.41 / μ 1.21
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 244 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
19.9%
|
5.03x | 59.0% n=244 | risky | won |
| Draw |
14.3%
|
6.99x | 59.0% n=244 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
65.8%
|
1.52x | 59.0% n=244 | lean | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 12 meetings — Dinamo Moskva… 7W / 2D / 3L
· momentum Dinamo Mosk… 0.5 ppg vs Ural U20 1.5 ppg
Dinamo Moskva U19 · last 6
06 Nov · Youth Championship
1-3
L
30 Oct · Youth Championship
2-2
D
23 Oct · Youth Championship
2-2
D
16 Oct · Youth Championship
2-2
D
09 Oct · Youth Championship
2-3
L
18 Sep · Youth Championship
4-2
L
Ural U20 · last 6
06 Nov · Youth Championship
1-3
W
30 Oct · Youth Championship
1-0
W
23 Oct · Youth Championship
3-0
L
16 Oct · Youth Championship
5-7
L
09 Oct · Youth Championship
0-1
W
18 Sep · Youth Championship
0-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
06 Nov 26 · Youth Championship
Dinamo Moskva U… 1-3 Ural U20
17 Jul 26 · Youth Championship
Ural U20 0-3 Dinamo Moskva U…
03 Oct 25 · Youth Championship
Dinamo Moskva U… 3-3 Ural U20
16 May 25 · Youth Championship
Ural U20 0-5 Dinamo Moskva U…
17 May 24 · Youth Championship
Dinamo Moskva U… 1-1 Ural U20