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First Division
Sandnes ULF vs Åsane
Sun 08 Nov 14:00 0 minutes final 1–1 · settled
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 85.9%
why
• league OK (65.0%, n=60)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
league track
ok · 65.0% of 60 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 52.4%)
draws 23.3% of matches
team history 25/25 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.9% (n=292)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
85.9%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
68.7%
Draw
17.3%
Away win
14.1%
calibrated 08 Nov 10:38
scoring fit λ 2.44 / μ 1.02
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 187 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
14.1%
|
7.11x | 49.7% n=187 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
17.3%
|
5.79x | 49.7% n=187 | risky | won |
| top Home win |
68.7%
|
1.46x | 49.7% n=187 | lean | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 12 meetings — Sandnes ULF 2W / 4D / 6L
· momentum Sandnes ULF 1.0 ppg vs Åsane 1.17 ppg
Sandnes ULF · last 6
08 Nov · First Division
1-1
D
01 Nov · First Division
3-3
D
25 Oct · First Division
2-1
W
18 Oct · First Division
4-0
L
14 Oct · First Division
4-1
L
11 Oct · First Division
1-1
D
Åsane · last 6
08 Nov · First Division
1-1
D
01 Nov · First Division
1-3
L
28 Oct · NM Cupen
3-0
W
25 Oct · First Division
1-3
W
18 Oct · First Division
0-1
L
14 Oct · First Division
6-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · First Division
Sandnes ULF 1-1 Åsane
20 May 26 · First Division
Åsane 2-0 Sandnes ULF
03 Aug 24 · First Division
Sandnes ULF 0-3 Åsane
01 Jun 24 · First Division
Åsane 1-0 Sandnes ULF
12 Nov 23 · First Division
Åsane 2-0 Sandnes ULF
Tickets including this match