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Eliteserien

Tromsø IL vs Bodø/Glimt

Sun 08 Nov 15:30 0 minutes final 0–2 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 85.3%
book 1.19x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (73.8%, n=42)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
• short price 1.19x
league track
proven · 73.8% of 42 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 58.9%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 23/30 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 85.1% (n=87)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
85.3%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away solid (85.3%)
@ 08 Nov 10:37 · 1.19x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
14.7%
Draw
14.1%
Away win
71.2%
calibrated 08 Nov 10:37
scoring fit λ 0.94 / μ 2.39
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 227 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
71.2%
1.4x 57.3% n=227 solid won
Draw
14.1%
7.12x 57.3% n=227 risky lost
Home win
14.7%
6.79x 57.3% n=227 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 11 meetings — Tromsø IL 3W / 3D / 5L · momentum Tromsø IL 0.83 ppg vs Bodø/Glimt 1.67 ppg
Tromsø IL · last 6
08 Nov · Eliteserien 0-2 L
01 Nov · Eliteserien 4-0 L
28 Oct · NM Cupen 3-2 W
25 Oct · Eliteserien 3-1 L
18 Oct · Eliteserien 1-1 D
11 Oct · Eliteserien 1-1 D
Bodø/Glimt · last 6
08 Nov · Eliteserien 0-2 W
03 Nov · UEFA Champions League 0-0 D
30 Oct · Eliteserien 3-2 W
24 Oct · Eliteserien 0-1 L
20 Oct · UEFA Champions League 4-3 L
17 Oct · Eliteserien 0-2 W
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Eliteserien Tromsø IL 0-2 Bodø/Glimt
16 May 26 · Eliteserien Bodø/Glimt 5-0 Tromsø IL
09 Aug 25 · Eliteserien Bodø/Glimt 1-1 Tromsø IL
16 May 25 · Eliteserien Tromsø IL 2-1 Bodø/Glimt
19 Oct 24 · Eliteserien Tromsø IL 0-0 Bodø/Glimt
Tickets including this match
SURESHOT win chance 75.9% VOID SURESHOT win chance 76.8% VOID VALUE win chance 75.9% VOID VALUE win chance 77.0% VOID