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Nationalliga A Women
Grasshopper Women vs St. Gallen Women
Sun 08 Nov 15:00 0 minutes final 5–1 · 1 won · 0 lostSt
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 80.1%
why
• league PROVEN (88.9%, n=18)
• type ledger 75% (n=2256)
league track
proven · 88.9% of 18 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 67.2%)
draws 20.0% of matches
team history 12/11 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.0% hit (n=2256, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.5% (n=677)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
80.1%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (80.1%)
@ 08 Nov 10:40
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
73.9%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
6.2%
calibrated 08 Nov 10:40
scoring fit λ 2.51 / μ 0.72
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 125 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
6.2%
|
16.23x | 59.2% n=125 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
19.9%
|
5.02x | 59.2% n=125 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
73.9%
|
1.35x | 59.2% n=125 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 12 meetings — Grasshopper W… 4W / 4D / 4L
· momentum Grasshopper… 2.17 ppg vs St. Gallen … 0.0 ppg
Grasshopper Women · last 6
08 Nov · Nationalliga A Women
5-1
W
31 Oct · Nationalliga A Women
3-2
W
17 Oct · Nationalliga A Women
3-2
L
02 Oct · Nationalliga A Women
4-1
W
19 Sep · Nationalliga A Women
1-4
W
13 Sep · Nationalliga A Women
0-0
D
St. Gallen Women · last 6
08 Nov · Nationalliga A Women
5-1
L
31 Oct · Nationalliga A Women
1-2
L
16 Oct · Nationalliga A Women
3-1
L
04 Oct · Nationalliga A Women
0-3
L
19 Sep · Nationalliga A Women
1-4
L
13 Sep · Nationalliga A Women
4-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Nationalliga A Women
Grasshopper Wom… 5-1 St. Gallen Women
19 Sep 26 · Nationalliga A Women
St. Gallen Women 1-4 Grasshopper Wom…
28 Mar 26 · Nationalliga A Women
St. Gallen Women 1-2 Grasshopper Wom…
28 Sep 25 · Nationalliga A Women
Grasshopper Wom… 1-1 St. Gallen Women
09 Mar 25 · Nationalliga A Women
Grasshopper Wom… 0-0 St. Gallen Women