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Oberliga - Bremen
Brinkumer SV vs Oberneuland
Fri 13 Nov 19:30 1 day, 18 hours
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 91.9%
why
• league PROVEN (82.1%, n=28)
• type ledger 79% (n=2310)
league track
proven · 82.1% of 28 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 64.4%)
draws 16.7% of matches
team history 14/14 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 78.5% hit (n=2310, 90d ledger)
measured band: 86.9% (n=61)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.5% hit (n=2555)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
91.9%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (91.9%)
@ 11 Nov 23:58
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
81.4%
Draw
8.1%
Away win
10.5%
calibrated 11 Nov 23:58
scoring fit λ 3.30 / μ 1.09
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 241 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
10.5%
|
9.47x | 64.7% n=241 | risky |
| Draw |
8.1%
|
12.39x | 64.7% n=241 | risky |
| top Home win |
81.4%
|
1.23x | 64.7% n=241 | solid |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — Brinkumer SV 1W / 0D / 1L
· momentum Brinkumer SV 2.5 ppg vs Oberneuland 0.5 ppg
Brinkumer SV · last 6
08 Nov · Oberliga - Bremen
0-2
W
01 Nov · Oberliga - Bremen
4-0
L
23 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
3-0
W
17 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
3-4
W
10 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
4-0
W
27 Sep · Oberliga - Bremen
1-7
W
Oberneuland · last 6
06 Nov · Oberliga - Bremen
0-2
L
01 Nov · Oberliga - Bremen
4-2
L
23 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
0-2
L
18 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
3-4
W
09 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
1-5
L
26 Sep · Oberliga - Bremen
2-0
L
Head-to-head last 5
21 Mar 26 · Oberliga - Bremen
Brinkumer SV 2-1 Oberneuland
26 Sep 25 · Oberliga - Bremen
Oberneuland 2-1 Brinkumer SV
Tickets including this match