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Oberliga - Bremen
Oberneuland vs Leher
Fri 06 Nov 20:30 0 minutes final 0–2 · 1 won · 0 lostLe
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 90.7%
why
• league PROVEN (82.1%, n=28)
• type ledger 75% (n=2265)
league track
proven · 82.1% of 28 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 64.4%)
draws 16.7% of matches
team history 14/14 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.7% (n=57)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
90.7%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (90.7%)
@ 06 Nov 18:04
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
23.7%
Draw
9.3%
Away win
67.0%
calibrated 06 Nov 18:04
scoring fit λ 1.46 / μ 2.65
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 241 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
67.0%
|
1.49x | 64.7% n=241 | lean | won |
| Draw |
9.3%
|
10.72x | 64.7% n=241 | risky | lost |
| Home win |
23.7%
|
4.23x | 64.7% n=241 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 7 meetings — Oberneuland 2W / 4D / 1L
· momentum Oberneuland 0.5 ppg vs Leher 2.67 ppg
Oberneuland · last 6
06 Nov · Oberliga - Bremen
0-2
L
01 Nov · Oberliga - Bremen
4-2
L
23 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
0-2
L
18 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
3-4
W
09 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
1-5
L
26 Sep · Oberliga - Bremen
2-0
L
Leher · last 6
06 Nov · Oberliga - Bremen
0-2
W
01 Nov · Oberliga - Bremen
4-0
W
25 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
1-3
W
18 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
1-9
W
09 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
7-1
W
25 Sep · Oberliga - Bremen
1-1
D
Head-to-head last 5
06 Nov 26 · Oberliga - Bremen
Oberneuland 0-2 Leher
08 May 26 · Oberliga - Bremen
Oberneuland 2-2 Leher
18 Mar 26 · Oberliga - Bremen
Leher 0-0 Oberneuland
12 Apr 24 · Oberliga - Bremen
Leher 1-1 Oberneuland
20 Oct 23 · Oberliga - Bremen
Oberneuland 3-3 Leher
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