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WSL Cup
Charlton Athletic Women vs Ipswich Town Women
Today 21:30 0 minutesIp
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 78.0%
why
• league PROVEN (88.0%, n=25)
• type ledger 79% (n=2301)
league track
proven · 88.0% of 25 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 70.0%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 14/10 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 78.5% hit (n=2301, 90d ledger)
measured band: 77.3% (n=948)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.5% hit (n=2545)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
78.0%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (78.0%)
@ 11 Nov 17:01
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
27.1%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
50.9%
calibrated 11 Nov 17:01
scoring fit λ 1.19 / μ 1.73
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
50.9%
|
1.97x | – | risky |
| Draw |
22.0%
|
4.55x | – | risky |
| Home win |
27.1%
|
3.69x | – | risky |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 3 meetings — Charlton Athl… 1W / 2D / 0L
· momentum Charlton At… 0.5 ppg vs Ipswich Tow… 1.67 ppg
Charlton Athletic Women · last 6
08 Nov · FA WSL
3-2
L
01 Nov · FA WSL
0-6
L
28 Oct · WSL Cup
1-2
L
25 Oct · FA WSL
1-0
L
21 Oct · WSL Cup
2-0
W
18 Oct · FA WSL
1-3
L
Ipswich Town Women · last 6
08 Nov · Women's Championship
1-2
L
31 Oct · WSL Cup
1-4
W
25 Oct · Women's Championship
3-1
W
18 Oct · WSL Cup
2-2
D
04 Oct · Women's Championship
1-2
W
30 Sep · WSL Cup
0-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
18 Feb 26 · Women's Championship
Ipswich Town Wo… 1-1 Charlton Athlet…
21 Sep 25 · Women's Championship
Charlton Athlet… 0-0 Ipswich Town Wo…
14 Jan 24 · FA Women's Cup
Ipswich Town Wo… 1-4 Charlton Athlet…