HOME
Liga 1
Persita vs Adhyaksa
Sat 07 Nov 14:00 0 minutes final 0–0 · 0 won · 1 lostAd
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 82.9%
why
• league PROVEN (72.3%, n=47)
• type ledger 78% (n=2311)
league track
proven · 72.3% of 47 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 58.2%)
draws 25.0% of matches
team history 11/9 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 78.5% hit (n=2311, 90d ledger)
measured band: 80.4% (n=703)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 76.6% hit (n=3052)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
82.9%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (82.9%)
@ 07 Nov 10:58
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
80.9%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
2.0%
calibrated 07 Nov 10:58
scoring fit λ 2.50 / μ 0.40
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 101 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
2.0%
|
50.57x | 54.5% n=101 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
17.1%
|
5.84x | 54.5% n=101 | risky | won |
| top Home win |
80.9%
|
1.24x | 54.5% n=101 | solid | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Persita 0W / 1D / 0L
· momentum Persita 1.83 ppg vs Adhyaksa 1.0 ppg
Persita · last 6
07 Nov · Liga 1
0-0
D
03 Nov · League Cup Indonesia
3-1
L
01 Nov · Liga 1
1-5
W
25 Oct · Liga 1
1-1
D
17 Oct · Liga 1
3-2
W
10 Oct · Liga 1
2-1
W
Adhyaksa · last 6
07 Nov · Liga 1
0-0
D
01 Nov · Liga 1
4-0
L
24 Oct · Liga 1
0-0
D
20 Oct · Liga 1
1-1
D
16 Oct · Liga 1
0-1
W
09 Oct · Liga 1
0-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Liga 1
Persita 0-0 Adhyaksa
Tickets including this match