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Liga 1

Bali United vs Persik Kediri

Sun 08 Nov 10:30 0 minutes final 3–0 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 88.4%
book 1.19x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (74.5%, n=47)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
• short price 1.19x
league track
proven · 74.5% of 47 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 60.5%)
draws 25.0% of matches
team history 13/12 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.9% (n=292)
morning 06-12 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=383)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
88.4%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw solid (88.4%)
@ 08 Nov 10:37 · 1.19x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
67.7%
Draw
20.7%
Away win
11.6%
calibrated 08 Nov 10:37
scoring fit λ 2.43 / μ 0.97
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 101 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
11.6%
8.64x 54.5% n=101 risky lost
Draw
20.7%
4.82x 54.5% n=101 risky lost
top Home win
67.7%
1.48x 54.5% n=101 lean won
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 11 meetings — Bali United 5W / 3D / 3L · momentum Bali United 2.17 ppg vs Persik Kedi… 1.0 ppg
Bali United · last 6
08 Nov · Liga 1 3-0 W
04 Nov · League Cup Indonesia 1-6 W
31 Oct · Liga 1 1-3 W
25 Oct · Liga 1 1-1 D
21 Oct · Liga 1 5-0 W
16 Oct · Liga 1 3-2 L
Persik Kediri · last 6
08 Nov · Liga 1 3-0 L
04 Nov · League Cup Indonesia 2-0 W
01 Nov · Liga 1 1-5 L
26 Oct · Liga 1 2-1 L
22 Oct · Liga 1 2-1 W
18 Oct · Liga 1 1-0 L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Liga 1 Bali United 3-0 Persik Kediri
30 Jan 26 · Liga 1 Persik Kediri 3-2 Bali United
10 Aug 25 · Liga 1 Bali United 1-1 Persik Kediri
12 Jan 25 · Liga 1 Bali United 1-3 Persik Kediri
11 Aug 24 · Liga 1 Persik Kediri 1-3 Bali United
Tickets including this match
SURESHOT win chance 82.3% VOID SURESHOT win chance 79.5% VOID SURESHOT win chance 76.5% VOID VALUE win chance 75.9% VOID VALUE win chance 73.1% VOID VALUE win chance 73.1% VOID