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Enugu Rangers vs Kwara United
Sun 08 Nov 17:00 0 minutes final 1–0 · settled
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 93.9%
why
• league PROVEN (75.7%, n=37)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
• SELECT 90%+ (measured >=88%)
league track
proven · 75.7% of 37 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 59.9%)
draws 40.0% of matches
team history 16/13 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 90.8% (n=163)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
93.9%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
69.7%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
6.1%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:24
scoring fit λ 1.98 / μ 0.52
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 382 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
6.1%
|
16.34x | 62.3% n=382 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
24.2%
|
4.14x | 62.3% n=382 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
69.7%
|
1.43x | 62.3% n=382 | lean | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 3 meetings — Enugu Rangers 1W / 2D / 0L
· momentum Enugu Range… 1.83 ppg vs Kwara United 0.83 ppg
Enugu Rangers · last 6
08 Nov · NPFL
1-0
W
01 Nov · NPFL
1-1
D
23 Oct · CAF Champions League
3-0
L
18 Oct · NPFL
1-0
W
18 Oct · CAF Champions League
2-0
W
11 Oct · NPFL
2-2
D
Kwara United · last 6
08 Nov · NPFL
1-0
L
01 Nov · NPFL
1-2
L
25 Oct · NPFL
1-1
D
18 Oct · NPFL
1-1
D
10 Oct · NPFL
2-0
L
04 Oct · NPFL
2-1
W
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · NPFL
Enugu Rangers 1-0 Kwara United
15 Mar 26 · NPFL
Kwara United 0-0 Enugu Rangers
26 Oct 25 · NPFL
Enugu Rangers 0-0 Kwara United