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V.League 2

Ho Chi Minh City vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Sun 08 Nov 12:00 0 minutes final 3–0 · 1 won · 0 lost
Xu
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 90.0%
why
• league OK (62.5%, n=40)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
league track
ok · 62.5% of 40 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 47.0%)
draws 23.3% of matches
team history 28/12 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.9% (n=292)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
90.0%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw solid (90.0%)
@ 08 Nov 10:41
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
66.8%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
10.0%
calibrated 08 Nov 10:41
scoring fit λ 2.14 / μ 0.77
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 134 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
10.0%
9.98x 47.8% n=134 risky lost
Draw
23.2%
4.32x 47.8% n=134 risky lost
top Home win
66.8%
1.5x 47.8% n=134 lean won
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 3 meetings — Ho Chi Minh C… 1W / 0D / 2L · momentum Ho Chi Minh… 2.17 ppg vs Xuan Thien … 0.17 ppg
Ho Chi Minh City · last 6
08 Nov · V.League 2 3-0 W
07 Nov · V.League 1 0-0 D
01 Nov · V.League 1 0-1 L
01 Nov · V.League 2 0-1 W
28 Oct · V.League 2 2-1 W
25 Oct · V.League 1 0-1 W
Xuan Thien Phu Tho · last 6
08 Nov · V.League 2 3-0 L
31 Oct · V.League 2 1-2 L
27 Oct · V.League 2 1-1 D
22 Oct · V.League 2 2-3 L
17 Oct · V.League 2 2-0 L
10 Oct · V.League 2 8-1 L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · V.League 2 Ho Chi Minh City 3-0 Xuan Thien Phu …
10 Apr 26 · V.League 2 Ho Chi Minh City 3-4 Xuan Thien Phu …
01 Mar 26 · V.League 2 Xuan Thien Phu … 2-0 Ho Chi Minh City
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 73.5% VOID VALUE win chance 73.5% VOID VALUE win chance 73.5% VOID VALUE win chance 73.5% VOID VALUE win chance 73.5% VOID VALUE win chance 73.5% VOID