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First League
Shirak II vs Banants II
Sun 08 Nov 16:00 0 minutes
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 80.8%
why
• league PROVEN (72.7%, n=33)
• type ledger 75% (n=2258)
league track
proven · 72.7% of 33 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 55.8%)
draws 21.7% of matches
team history 12/13 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2258, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.5% (n=677)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
80.8%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (80.8%)
@ 08 Nov 17:26
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
38.3%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
42.5%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:26
scoring fit λ 1.79 / μ 1.90
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 274 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
42.5%
|
2.35x | 55.1% n=274 | risky |
| Draw |
19.2%
|
5.2x | 55.1% n=274 | risky |
| Home win |
38.3%
|
2.61x | 55.1% n=274 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 10 meetings — Shirak II 3W / 5D / 2L
· momentum Shirak II 1.0 ppg vs Banants II 0.5 ppg
Shirak II · last 6
03 Nov · First League
2-3
L
20 Oct · First League
5-0
L
14 Oct · First League
3-4
L
09 Oct · First League
1-2
W
21 Sep · First League
2-1
W
15 Sep · First League
3-0
L
Banants II · last 6
02 Nov · First League
4-1
L
19 Oct · First League
1-2
L
14 Oct · First League
2-0
L
08 Oct · First League
1-1
D
15 Sep · First League
1-1
D
08 Sep · First League
2-2
D
Head-to-head last 5
06 May 26 · First League
Shirak II 5-3 Banants II
16 Oct 25 · First League
Banants II 3-3 Shirak II
24 Mar 25 · First League
Banants II 1-1 Shirak II
15 Sep 24 · First League
Shirak II 1-0 Banants II
11 Mar 24 · First League
Banants II 2-2 Shirak II