NetScore Engine v2

Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED

RECOMMENDED

Home or Draw · 83.4%

why

• league PROVEN (72.7%, n=33)

• type ledger 80% (n=1980)

league track

proven · 72.7% of 33 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 55.8%)

draws 21.7% of matches

team history 14/11 games (180d)

bet type · time of day

DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)

measured band: 82.0% (n=423)

afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)

What we suggest

All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.

Recommended

83.4%

Home or Draw

engine's strongest option for this match

MED risk

Value

No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.

PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade

Pick validation — what the engine actually published

This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.

Home or Draw solid (83.4%)

@ 08 Nov 17:26

1X2 — engine vs market

Home win

64.6%

Draw

18.8%

Away win

16.6%

calibrated 08 Nov 17:26

scoring fit λ 2.02 / μ 0.89

Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID

backtested 28 Oct · 274 matches of this league

fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.

1X2

pick	chance	fair	backtest	verdict
Away win	16.6%	6.03x	55.1% n=274	risky
Draw	18.8%	5.33x	55.1% n=274	risky
top Home win	64.6%	1.55x	55.1% n=274	lean

Form & head-to-head

no H2H record · momentum Araks Ararat 1.83 ppg vs Sardarapat 2 1.0 ppg

Araks Ararat · last 6

02 Nov · First League 4-1 W

25 Oct · Cup 0-0 D

20 Oct · First League 2-0 L

13 Oct · First League 3-1 W

08 Oct · First League 1-2 W

21 Sep · First League 0-0 D

Sardarapat 2 · last 6

01 Nov · First League 1-0 W

21 Oct · First League 3-2 L

14 Oct · First League 2-0 W

08 Oct · First League 3-2 L

22 Sep · First League 0-1 L

15 Sep · First League 4-2 L

Head-to-head last 5

First meeting on record.

Araks Ararat vs Sardarapat 2