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First League
Pyunik Yerevan II vs BKMA II
Sun 08 Nov 16:00 0 minutesBK
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 79.2%
why
• league PROVEN (72.7%, n=33)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
league track
proven · 72.7% of 33 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 55.8%)
draws 21.7% of matches
team history 13/13 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 77.3% (n=128)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
79.2%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away
solid (79.2%)
@ 08 Nov 17:26
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
20.8%
Draw
18.4%
Away win
60.9%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:26
scoring fit λ 1.13 / μ 2.11
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 274 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
60.9%
|
1.64x | 55.1% n=274 | lean |
| Draw |
18.4%
|
5.45x | 55.1% n=274 | risky |
| Home win |
20.8%
|
4.82x | 55.1% n=274 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 11 meetings — Pyunik Yereva… 2W / 0D / 9L
· momentum Pyunik Yere… 0.17 ppg vs BKMA II 1.83 ppg
Pyunik Yerevan II · last 6
02 Nov · First League
3-2
L
20 Oct · First League
1-1
D
09 Oct · First League
1-2
L
22 Sep · First League
2-1
L
15 Sep · First League
0-2
L
07 Sep · First League
3-1
L
BKMA II · last 6
03 Nov · First League
2-2
D
14 Oct · First League
3-4
W
21 Sep · First League
0-0
D
14 Sep · First League
1-4
L
08 Sep · First League
0-4
W
01 Sep · First League
2-0
W
Head-to-head last 5
09 Mar 26 · First League
BKMA II 3-1 Pyunik Yerevan …
28 Sep 25 · First League
Pyunik Yerevan … 2-3 BKMA II
16 Mar 25 · First League
Pyunik Yerevan … 0-1 BKMA II
27 Aug 24 · First League
BKMA II 4-1 Pyunik Yerevan …
01 Dec 23 · First League
BKMA II 4-1 Pyunik Yerevan …