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Liga 2
Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang
Sat 07 Nov 10:30 0 minutes final 0–2 · 0 won · 1 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 90.6%
why
• league PROVEN (84.1%, n=44)
• type ledger 80% (n=1994)
• SELECT 90%+ (measured >=88%)
league track
proven · 84.1% of 44 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 70.6%)
draws 31.7% of matches
team history 9/8 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1994, 90d ledger)
measured band: 90.9% (n=164)
morning 06-12 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=385)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
90.6%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (90.6%)
@ 07 Nov 11:02
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
68.2%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
9.4%
calibrated 07 Nov 11:02
scoring fit λ 2.14 / μ 0.72
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 271 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
9.4%
|
10.68x | 57.2% n=271 | risky | won |
| Draw |
22.4%
|
4.46x | 57.2% n=271 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
68.2%
|
1.47x | 57.2% n=271 | lean | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Sumsel United 0W / 0D / 1L
· momentum Sumsel Unit… 1.67 ppg vs PSIS Semara… 1.33 ppg
Sumsel United · last 6
07 Nov · Liga 2
0-2
L
30 Oct · Liga 2
1-0
L
24 Oct · Liga 2
1-1
D
18 Oct · Liga 2
2-1
W
10 Oct · Liga 2
5-1
W
02 Oct · Liga 2
1-2
W
PSIS Semarang · last 6
07 Nov · Liga 2
0-2
W
01 Nov · Liga 2
0-0
D
25 Oct · Liga 2
2-1
L
17 Oct · Liga 2
0-0
D
09 Oct · Liga 2
1-3
L
03 Oct · Liga 2
1-0
W
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Liga 2
Sumsel United 0-2 PSIS Semarang
Tickets including this match